Gotcha, Gotchiani!

ONE of the earliest Risk Watch articles when the column started in 2004 concerned the worrying state of the Cyprus property market. To be sure, the market was very buoyant but there were already clouds on the horizon.

As the years progressed, Risk Watch felt compelled to raise stronger and stronger warnings about a range of serious issues that were having a damaging impact on the market and the country’s reputation: withheld title deeds, fraud, physical assaults on buyers, government bureaucracy etc.

Regrettably, very little has been done by the government and the industry over that period to rectify the bad state of affairs. Many, if not most, of the predictions made in Risk Watch regarding the likely consequences of failing to correct things have also, sadly, come true.

Good news!

Regular readers may be surprised, therefore, that on this occasion I have a good story to report. At long last, after 8 years, my wife and I have paid the transfer tax and are finally getting our fully clean title deeds to our home. Taking a cue from the popular British tabloid newspapers, my personal headline expressing our good fortune has just got to be ‘Gotcha, gotchiani!’

Let me give some credit where it is due. Ours has not been a tale of dodgy developers ensnaring us in double selling fraud or hidden mortgages or delivery of sub-standard building work. We had no such problems. It is much more a tale of a relatively modest scale local developer (A&K Developers of Oroklini near Larnaca) and, over the years, the perseverance of its principal Mr Kyriakos Kyriakou to get the deeds issued. We were also blessed with sterling support and professionalism throughout from our lawyer Eleni Papacharalambous of Papacharalambous & Angelides LLC in Nicosia.

In our case, there were no real technical issues or no-conformities to deal with. The last 8 years have really been Mr Kyriakou slogging on relentlessly through the archaic government bureaucracy that is the Title Deeds issuance system in Cyprus.

The government’s inability and unwillingness to disentangle title deeds issuance from planning regulations and the multiple, repetitive inspections, authorisations, certifications and ‘dead time’ in their respective offices is a major factor in there still remaining some 130,000 dwellings without their deeds. Most if not all other developed countries issue title deeds on full payment for the property as per contract.

Less good news

Following years of pressure from buyer groups, MEPs, international media, TV ‘holiday homes from hell’ programmes and Internet campaigns, in 2011 the Cyprus government finally introduced a series of laws which they claimed would solve the Title Deeds Problem once and for all. The Interior Minister at that time, Mr Sylikiotis, even boasted that the problem had now been solved and that soon the huge backlog of non-issued title deeds would be cleared.

Eighteen months later, what is the picture? While there has been a discernible increase in deeds issuance in recent months, at the current pace it will probably take at least 5 years and maybe longer to clear the 130,000 backlog. Thus, a 7-15 year wait for one’s title deeds still appears to be the prevailing situation.

Moreover, whereas the new laws introduced some welcome protection for buyers against hidden developer mortgages, much of the protection is not retrospective. Thus, the bulk of the victims who are among the 130,000 backlog are still exposed to the depredations that occurred before the new laws came into effect.

But fear not! Buyers have the ‘opportunity’ to pay off the developer’s mortgage debt and his tax liabilities as their only means to obtain their title deeds! Why are banks punishing innocent buyers who were not party to the mortgage, instead of pursuing the developer personally and his guarantors? Why does the Inland Revenue, in effect, make innocent buyers liable for a developer’s own tax liabilities? Such official delinquency will certainly deter new buyers.

Since 2009, there have been a number of significant developer collapses, including A&G Froiber, SNK Venus/SNK Exclusive and Liasides. Banks have not been shy in seeking to liquidate and pursue buyers (who have already paid in full).

In the Froiber case, for example, it was reported that buyers received threatening letters from the banks, which stated that they would not receive their title deeds until and unless they contributed a ‘symbolic amount’ of €8,000 per property towards the outstanding debt of the liquidated developer. A larger sum was also demanded to help pay off his tax liabilities.

It was also reported that in December 2011, Alpha Bank sought permission from the Land Registry to auction eight plots of land it had repossessed from the bankrupt developer Yiannis Liasides. The land included some 70 homes (over 100 residents) which had been bought and paid for from Liasides before he went bust. When he ceased trading in 2007, some 250 people across 14 sites had bought properties from him but had not received their title deeds.

Alleged victims of the Liasides/Alpha Bank debacle are among a number of property cases of alleged contravention by Cyprus of the EU Unfair Commercial Practices Directive now lodged with the European Court of Human Rights.

Any corrective action afoot?

No new impetus from the new Interior Minister is evident to radically speed up the bureaucracy on title deeds issuance and thereby also speed up the collection of much needed taxes, so that is disappointing. Moreover, the developers are not helping themselves by revealing that their priority proposals for market recovery do not include anything much on the title deeds problem.

At the recent AGM (23 April) of the Cyprus Land and Building Developers Association (CLBDA), the focus was mainly on a tax amnesty for repatriated capital and tax incentives favouring developers so that they would be encouraged to start new construction, moderate their property prices and stimulate buyers.

As the respected property analyst Pavlos Loizou has noted on Cyprus Property News, unfortunately the CBLDA view of the market’s problems and the urgent priority requirements excludes the title deeds problem. This is one ‘elephant in the room’ but it also has a close relative which is also being ignored: developer mortgage debt.

Sooner or later, the banks, who have been a tad reckless in their lending policy to developers, will have to take action. Non-Performing Loans can no longer be hidden by sleight-of-hand re-designation of the account, which in itself is fraud as it misleads shareholders as to the true extent of the bank’s debt exposure. I am aware of one case of a small developer who was allowed to rack up nearly €40m in bank loans and mortgages, which remain non-discharged and with every prospect of them becoming NPLs or even non-recoverable. If this case is indicative of bank behaviour across the country, even if on average a developer has borrowed only €5m-€10m, it provides a crude estimate of the total developer debt at somewhere between €10bn and €20bn.

A recent New York Times article on the Cyprus economy put the Cyprus banks’ outstanding debts and liabilities at €152bn or some 8 times GDP. If, as many predict, Cyprus applies for a bailout from the EU, what will they uncover in the accounts of the banks and the government?

The economic difficulties facing Cyprus, and those of countries whose citizens have traditionally bought residential property here, are to some extent overlaying and masking the pre-existing problem of withheld title deeds, property fraud etc.

Looking to the future, when this current economic crisis period has passed, hopefully new property buyers will enter the market, but this is most unlikely if the old problems have not been fully cleared up, including all those previous victims not covered retrospectively by the 2011 laws. Most potential buyers do Internet searches now and the Internet has an awfully long memory.

In years to come, searches on Cyprus property will still be awash with the horror stories and investigation reports from recent years. It is therefore imperative that the industry uses this current doldrums period to clean up its act and start afresh.

About the author

For over 30 years, Dr Alan Waring has been an international risk management consultant with extensive experience in Europe, Asia and the Middle East with industrial, commercial and governmental clients. His next book Corporate Risk & Governance ISBN 978-1-4094-4836-5 will be published by Gower later in 2012.  Contact [email protected]

©2012 Alan Waring

First published in the Financial Mirror

Have property prices reached rock bottom?

SINCE the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) published the first issue of its Property Price Index back in January 2010, we have been tracking property prices and how these have changed in different areas of the Island over time.

Since the first quarter of 2010, average prices for residential properties have fallen by 17%; a 15% drop in house prices and a 23% fall in apartment prices.

Apartment prices

It is perhaps not surprising that apartment prices have fallen by more than those of houses. There has been much speculative building of apartments in the seaside towns, which has resulted in a massive oversupply in those areas.

Since the first RICS Property Price Index was published, prices of residential apartments in the Paralimni/Famagusta area have been the hardest hit, with prices falling by 31%. Although not recorded in the Index, anecdotal evidence suggests that prices of holiday apartments designed for the overseas market have fallen still further and that ground floor apartments and penthouses are being bought by Nicosians, looking for a weekend retreat, at knockdown prices.

Prices of residential apartments in the Larnaca and Paphos areas have fallen by around 26% and, as for Paralimni/Famagusta, prices of holiday apartments designed and built for the overseas market have faired worse.

Apartment prices in the mainly residential areas of Limassol and Nicosia, the capital, were holding up fairly well until the third quarter of 2011, when they started to decline more sharply. This was probably as a result of fears over the worsening economic situation and the uncertainty and chaos that followed the destruction of the Vassilikos power station by a massive explosion of carelessly stored munitions.

Cyprus property prices (residential apartments)

House prices

House prices have faired better, although there was a sudden decline in the third quarter of 2011  in Nicosia and Limassol, the major business centres of the Island, following the destruction of the Vassilikos power station.

House prices have dipped sharply in Limassol, falling by 22% since the first quarter of 2010. As reported in the RICS Property Price Index that we published yesterday, Limassol was the least affected area until the second half of 2011 and the one that has experienced the greatest reduction in interest by overseas buyers.

House price falls in Larnaca may have stabilised at -18%; no falls have been reported over the past three quarters. Prices in Paphos have fallen by 16% and they are down 13% in Paralimni/Famagusta. Nicosia remains the most resilient area with house prices falling by just 6% since the first quarter of 2010.

Cyprus property prices (houses)

The future

The economy still has problems although the result of the recent Greek elections has “pulled Cyprus back from the precipice” according to a Reuters report. Had the Greeks voted for the leftist Syriza, it’s been estimated that Cyprus would have needed €10 billion or more if Greece were pushed out of the Euro.

As things stand, Cyprus needs Cyprus needs to raise 1.8 billion Euros by the end of the month to recapitalise the Popular Bank plus a further 3 billion Euros or so to refinance the public debt. Whether it will get this money from Russia or the EU is unclear, but most commentators believe that Russia is the odds-on favourite.

The Russian newspaper ‘Nezavisimaya Gazeta’ printed a story under the headline, “?????? ???????? ????????? ?????” (Moscow buys the Cyprus economy); most appropriate in the circumstances!

If the government can take the necessary steps to improve the economy, reduce unemployment, ease money supply and restore confidence, we may see a slowdown in the rate of price falls or possibly a reversal of the downward trend in the more popular residential areas of the Island.

However, Title Deeds (or rather the lack of them) remain the ‘elephant in the room’. Although the government introduced legislation last year designed to improve consumer protection, it still has much work to do to fully resolve the problems.

Cyprus property prices and rents continue to fall

ACCORDING to the latest figures released by the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) property prices and rents across Cyprus continued to fall during the first quarter of 2012.

Overall, Limassol faired the worst as it was the least affected market until the second half of 2011 and the one that had experienced the greatest reduction in interest from overseas buyers.

According to Pavlos Loizou MRICS, member of the RICS Board in Cyprus: “During the first quarter of 2012 Cyprus’ economy continued to bear the consequences of the decoupling of the Greek economy and of the “haircut” in Greek government debt”.

He explained that the above had a significant impact on prices and rents as they had led to a pronounced slowdown in mortgage and corporate lending and a rise in the rate of unemployment. “The combination of the above, along with uncertainty surrounding Cyprus’ banking system, led to a further slowdown of the economy”.

Mr Loizou went on to say that “whilst the first half of 2011 saw some signs of muted economic growth, the second half of the year and the first quarter of 2012 saw investors postpone their decision making. This led to low transaction turnover and reduced interest, especially by local buyers, as they were more affected by the increase in unemployment and the decrease in credit.”

Residential prices for both houses and apartments fell by 2.4% and 2.6% respectively, with the biggest drop being in Limassol (6.5% for apartments and 5.3% for houses). Values of retail properties fell by an average of 3.0%, whilst those of offices and warehouses fell by 3.1% and 2.1% respectively.

Compared to the first quarter of 2011, apartment prices have fallen by 10.8%, while house prices are down 6.3%. The prices of retail premises have fallen 12.0%, while those for offices and warehouses are down 9.0% and 10.7% respectively.

Yields are a useful tool showing the relationship between rent and property prices. During the first quarter of 2012, average gross yields stood at 3.8% for apartments, 2.0% for houses, 6.0% for retail, 4.8% for warehouses, and 4.5% for offices.

Derived from the RICS Cyprus Property Price Index for Q1 2012

The parallel reduction in capital values and rents is keeping investment yields relatively stable and at very low levels (compared to yields overseas). This suggests that there is still room for re-pricing of capital values to take place.

Outline of properties used to calculate the index

Apartments: Residential, two bedroom, 85sqm, Medium quality.
Houses: Residential, three bedroom with garden, Semi-detached, 250sqm, Medium quality.
Retail: High-street retail, 100sqm ground floor area with 50sqm mezzanine.
Warehouse: Light industrial area, 2,000sqm, which includes 200sqm office space.
Office: Grade A, City centre location, 200sqm

(All property types used to calculate the index are: freehold, have all licences and permits in place, have their Title Deeds, are subject to VAT and are in a good state of repair).

Methodology

The methodology underpinning the RICS Cyprus Property Price Index was developed by the University of Reading UK and may be viewed by clicking here.

Russia and Cyprus close to loan deal

RUSSIA is reportedly close to agreeing to a second loan deal with Cyprus worth around 5 billion Euros, according to reports in the Russian media.

Cyprus needs to raise 1.8 billion Euros by the end of the month for the recapitalisation of its ailing Popular Bank (the Island’s second largest) and an additional amount of about 3 billion Euros to refinance the public debt.

Finance Minister Vassos Shiarly remained tight-lipped on the subject yesterday, refusing to speculate on where the money would come from and stating that the government would come to a decision after Sunday’s Greek parliamentary elections.

Russia, with its deep economic ties to the Island, will be looking to prevent Cyprus from turning to the EU for a bailout; a scenario that could see EU imposed reforms to the country’s tax framework result in an exodus of foreign companies from the Island.

Energy Performance Certificates

FROM 1st January 2010 landlords have been required to provide Energy Performance Certificates (EPCs) to new tenants as part of the lettings process. Each EPC will last for 10 years.

Also home owners that are planning to put their house for sale must also provide the potential buyer an EPC. The government requires an EPC to be carried out on all homes that are built, sold or rented after January 1st 2010.

The idea by introducing Energy Performance Certificates is that they will help prospective buyers, tenants, owners and occupiers to easily compare the energy efficiency of one building with another building of the same type, so that they can consider fuel costs and energy efficiency as part of their investment.

What does this mean in practice?

The landlord (or someone acting on their behalf, such as an estate agent) must make available an EPC free of charge for the home you are interested in renting as early as possible. This should be when you are first given written information about the home or when you view it, and before you enter into any contract to pay rent to the landlord.

If you are already renting a home on 1 January 2010 and carry on living there after that date, your landlord does not need to provide you with an EPC.

What is an Energy Performance Certificate?

An EPC is similar to the energy performance certificates now provided with domestic appliances such as refrigerators and washing machines. The EPC provides a rating for the energy performance of a home from A to G, where A is very efficient and G is very inefficient. The EPC shows two things about the house:

the energy-efficiency rating (this is based on how much the home would cost to run); and

the environmental impact rating (this is based on how much carbon dioxide is released into the environment because of the home).

The rating is based on factors such as age, property layout, construction, heating, lighting, and insulation. The ratings are standard so you can compare the energy efficiency of one home easily with another. The typical rating for a home is D or E.

A recommendation report forms part of the certificate. This is a list of ways in which the energy efficiency of the home could be improved.

Why do I need an Energy Performance Certificate?

The EPC and the recommendations that come with it give you important information about your home’s energy efficiency. The certificate will provide you with information about how much it is likely to cost to run the home you are interested in renting. Bear in mind that the estimated running costs are based on:

  • standard assumptions about a property, including how many people will live there and how long it is heated each day; and
  • average fuel prices when the EPC was produced – these could be up to 10 years old.

The actual energy you will use in running a property will depend on how you use the property, for example how long you have the heating turned on for, and whether lights and appliances are left on.

What does the Recommendation Report contain?

The report includes cost-effective recommendations split into low-cost and high-cost improvements. The report also includes more advanced energy improvements that your landlord could make to a home to help it reach the highest possible energy efficiency standards. Many of these improvements are expensive and will take much longer to pay for themselves.

Cost-effective recommendations for improving the energy efficiency of a home could include:

  • using low-energy light bulbs;
  • adding loft insulation;
  • installing double glazing; or
  • installing a condensing boiler.

In certain circumstances, you may be able to apply for grants to carry out these recommendations.

About the author

Xenios Chr. Sofianos
SKYY Consulting Limited
Accredited Expert for Building Energy Performance (EPC’s)

Residential properties (existing and new) by law are to be certified from the 1st of January 2010 and after, while non residential from the 1st of September of 2010. SKYY Consulting Limited provides certificates for all types of buildings.

Moody’s pushes Cyprus deeper into junk status

MOODY’S Investors Service downgraded Cyprus’s government bond ratings on Wednesday by two notches to Ba3 from Ba1, and has placed the ratings on review for further possible downgrade.

The credit agency said that the key driver behind its action was “the material increase in the likelihood of a Greek exit from the euro area, and the resulting increase in the likely amount of support that the government may have to extend to Cypriot banks.”

And went on to say that “The two-notch downgrade reflects Moody’s assessment that this risk is exacerbated by the fact that the country’s finances are already strained and access to the international markets is still denied.”

Adding that its decision to maintain Cyprus sovereign bond ratings on review for further downgrade “reflects the need to assess the substantial downside risks to the banking sector and the sovereign as a result of a Greek euro exit.”

The downgrade comes hot on the heels of Moody’s action on Tuesday, when the agency downgraded of the Bank of Cyprus and the Hellenic Bank.

Moody’s latest move is an added blow to Cyprus as it seeks €1.8 billion to recapitalise the Popular Bank and as much as €4 billion in financial aid.