What next for Limassol development?

Cyprus: What next for Limassol development?WHILE INTEREST in Limassol’s prime locations does not seem to be withering any time soon, some property experts have expressed fears that uncontrollable licensing of towers and other developments could backfire, bringing prices down and causing social issues for Cyprus’ second city.

The saturation of the seafront has not decreased investor interest in development projects, as they are currently seeking land to the east of the town. One of the areas where major projects are being earmarked is the Pyrgos area, which has seen investors acquiring significant real estate properties in recent months.

Recently, Lebanese investors paid EUR 40 million for a plot of land which was once home to the old cement factory. The property was sold by the Bank of Cyprus which it acquired as part of a debt-to-asset swap with the previous owners. The Lebanese investors have yet to announce what kind of development they plan to build on the Pyrgos property.

A joint venture between Cypriot Planetvision Properties and British Oxley Property (Oxley Planetvision Properties) has bought property to the east of Limassol worth EUR 30 million.

The consortium has an agreement with French AccorHotels to set up the first Sofitel on the island. Oxley Planetvision Properties has appointed global hotel leader AccorHotels and its luxurious Sofitel brand to manage a new 245-room resort in Limassol. The Sofitel Limassol Resort and Residences, which is expected to open in 2022.

Oxley Planetvision will also be building two towers in the vicinity, of 97 and 105 meters tall, with a total 151 luxury apartments in a project to be completed by 2021.

Also in the vicinity, a Russian businessman has also bought property near the Parklane Hotel (ex Le Meridien) worth EUR 40 million. The property was sold by Anolia Holdings, a Hellenic Bank subsidiary that obtained the property after a debt-to-asset deal made with the Church of Cyprus.

Russian company Zaria has submitted plans to construct two towers, the Zaria Residences Sunset and the Sunrise, of 18 and 16 floors respectively.

Real estate agents say investors are also looking westwards, especially in the area surrounding the integrated casino resort, investors are also eyeing the industrial area to the west of the new Marina.

Danos Real Estate Limassol office director Nicholas Papadopoulos told the Financial Mirror that indications are that investor interest is very much alive.

He said that projects are not only being drafted on paper, but they are also viable as developers are able to finance construction by preselling apartments or other residences before they start building.

“There are many projects in the pipeline including tall buildings and hotels, especially towards the east of the seafront which is more or less saturated. The focus is currently on an area starting from Yeroskipou extending to the east of the city, the area which the ex-LeMeridien is situated,” said Papadopoulos.

He added that there is also a high demand for properties to the west of the new marina.

“We are the exclusive real estate agents for prime property in the area belonging to Coca-Cola Cyprus, and we can confirm that a number of investors have exhibited a vivid interest in buying that property.”

Papadopoulos said that demand has not dampened, but it is being hampered by the absence of suburban planning schemes, the equivalent of a master plan for smaller areas.

“Currently the area to the west of the marina, eyed by investors is characterized as an industrial zone. This is putting investors off, as they will have to go through an extra layer of red tape to be able to obtain building permits” said Papadopoulos.

“The demand is there and is expected to be enhanced once a series of infrastructure projects go ahead, such as the seafront road connecting the new marina with the old Limassol Port,” he added.

Sustainable development

Frederick University’s Architecture and Urban Planning Professor Vyronas Ioannou told the Financial Mirror that development in areas next to the seafront of Limassol, is hindered by the lack of zonal planning.

“In many cases, there are no area schemes, an equivalent to a master for a specific area, and where there are, they are outdated. The area west of the marina is currently characterized as an industrial zone and there is no evidence that this is to change any time soon. The Town Planning Department is understaffed and has been given the mandate to deal with building permits as a priority,” said Ioannou.

He argued that this had its toll on development projects, and Limassol’s environment as the town is developing without a strategic plan.

“The task of forming a strategic plan could have been assigned to the private sector. But then again, a study was prepared by a private firm regarding the drawing up of an area plan for west of the marina area in 2013, which was put away in someone’s drawer,” said Ioannou.

He explained that no one is against development, as long as it is planned and does not leave scope for opportunistic exploitation which will lead to a bubble ready to explode. “Development must be planned, stable and viable,” argued Ioannou.

A Limassol real estate expert also expressed concerns over the sustainability of the recent development in the town.

“We are expecting the European Union is soon to issue new directives regarding schemes such as the “Citizenship for investment” applied in Cyprus, which may entirely change the ball game,” said the property expert.

He said this means that a number of apartments will remain empty while expressing concern over whether developers are truthful when presenting the number of sales, they claim to have made so far.

“That is why, as far as I see it, investors are very cautious with development plans in the east of the town. With the exception of a few hotel projects, the rest may never go ahead,” said the expert.

Fears of zombie buildings

He also expressed fears that Cyprus may see the towers turning into what he called “Zombie buildings” as they may be deserted, as the rich owners will probably choose not to live in them.

“This is what we have witnessed with a number of housing units bought by Chinese investors, which have been abandoned,” he said.

Warning of upcoming bubble?

The expert warned of an upcoming bubble as mushrooming tower blocks have pushed house prices and rents to previously unseen limits.

He also warned that Cyprus will soon be witnessing the exodus of the first investors who bought into the Citizenship for Investment scheme as the government obliges them to keep their property for just three years.

“Investors are encouraged to buy a new property, which means that these investors cannot resell their property to new investors interested in the scheme.

“That could lead these people to sell off their properties at much lower than market price, pushing prices down and bursting the bubble.”

He suggested that the government should extend the three-year period to eight so as these properties re-enter the market in an orderly fashion and not all at once.

“The European Union has already warned us three times so far about the possible negative consequences of this passport for investment schemes if we are not careful.”

Cyprus property price index Q2 2018

RICS Cyprus property pricesTHE THIRTY-FIFTH publication of the RICS Cyprus Property Price Index reports that the average price of residential apartments and houses across the island rose over the first quarter of 2018.

Property price increases have been assisted by further signs of recovery in the Cyprus economy, with a seasonally adjusted quarterly growth in GDP of 0.8% and an annual growth of 3.9%. Unemployment dropped significantly from 10.6% a year ago to 7.3% and from the record high of 17.6% in the first quarter of 2015.

The improved confidence in the Cyprus banking system and the improved availability of finance have assisted in a relatively higher transaction volume during the quarter, which further enhanced market sentiment. However, the issue of non-performing loans (NPLs) and Debt for Asset Swaps (DFAS) by most banks continue to be present in the market.

Quarterly property price changes

Compared with the first quarter of 2018, prices of residential houses and apartments rose by 1.3% and 2.1% respectively. Famagusta recorded the largest quarterly increase in apartment prices (up 4.0%), while Larnaca reported the largest quarterly rise in house prices (up 6.7%).

Residential property prices in Paphos remained stable.

Prices of holiday homes also rose over the quarter by 2.8% for apartments and 1.5% for houses. The highest increase for both holiday houses and apartments was recorded in Larnaca where each rose by 7.0%.

Annual price changes

On an annual basis apartments prices rose 7.6%, houses by 4.8%, offices by 11.6%, warehouses by 4.2% and retail by 1.7%.

Rental values

On a quarterly basis rental values increased by 2.9% for apartments, 3.9% for houses, 1.0% for retail, 1.0% for offices and 0.4% for warehouses.

On an annual basis, rents increased by 18.0% for apartments, 17.7% for houses, 3.8% for retail, 14.3% for offices and for 1.9% warehouses.

Gross rental yields

At the end of the second quarter of 2018, average gross rental yields stood at 4.5% for apartments, 2.4% for houses, 5.5% for retail, 4.2% for warehouses, and 5.1% for offices. The proportionately higher quarterly rental increases compared to quarterly price increases have marginally improved yields for apartments and offices.

The gross rental yield is a useful yardstick as to whether property is over-valued, under-valued or priced correctly. Here is a set of rules of thumb for the housing market from the Global Property Guide:

Price/Rent
Ratio
Gross Rental
Yield (%)
5 20 Very undervalued
6.7 15 Very undervalued
8.3 12 Undervalued
10 10 Undervalued
12.5 8 Borderline undervalued
14.2 7 Fairly priced
16.7 6 Fairly priced
20 5 Borderline overvalued
25 4 Overvalued
33.3 3 Overvalued
40 2.5 Very overvalued
50 2 Very overvalued

Further reading

RICS Cyprus Property Price Index Q2 2018.

Almost 2,500 ‘golden visa’ applications

FROM MAY 2013 until August of this year, 2,390 applications were filed by law firms and accounting firms on behalf of foreign nationals seeking Cypriot naturalisation via the citizenship-by-investment scheme, official documents show.

The list has been leaked to the media after it was provided to parliament by the interior ministry via a letter dated November 21.

The company with the largest share of applications, 184, was PricewaterhouseCoopers (Cyprus Ltd).

In second place was the law firm of Andreas Demetriades & Co LLC, with 137 applications.

Third was the law firm of Michael Kyprianou and Co LLC with 123 applications, followed by Areti Charidemou & Associates LLC with 119, and KPMG with 114.

Lower down the rung was President Nicos Anastasiades’ law firm, Nicos Chr. Anastasiades & Partners LLC, which filed 41 applications.

Anastasiades maintains that since assuming office he has had nothing to do with the law firm and its business – although the main partners in the company are his daughters.

The Elias Neocleous & Co LLC law firm (formerly Andreas Neocleous & Co LLC) filed 54 applications, while Tassos Papadopoulos & Associates LLC filed 17.

Altogether, some 200 law firms are listed, accounting for 1,131 applications or about half of the total applications.

The list features only the applications filed, not the citizenships granted. In the letter providing the data, Interior Minister Constandinos Petrides promises to provide “additional information” to parliament in the near future.

The interior ministry has, however, released generic information on the number of citizenships granted to foreign nationals via the scheme.

It shows that from 2014 to 2017, a total of 2,996 citizenships were granted to foreign investors and family members.

The year 2017 was the busiest. In total, citizenship was granted to 503 investors, and another 510 Cypriot passports to family members; by comparison in 2016, 443 citizenships to investors and 461 passports to family members; in 2015, 337 citizenships and 342 passports; and in 2014, 214 citizenships and 186 passports.

According to the ministry, the applicants hail mainly from Asia, eastern Europe, European countries and Arab countries.

In an apparent damage-control exercise – following criticism from certain quarters abroad about Cyprus’ so-called ‘golden passports’ – the government last week announced that it will hire consultants to carry out tighter due diligence checks on the applications scheme.

2017 was also the year with the highest number of applications, at 704. For this year (up until August), there were 521 applications.

The cabinet recently decided to place a cap on citizenships granted, limiting them to 700 per year.

In October, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) put Cyprus on its ‘blacklist’ of countries whose ‘golden passport’ schemes are regarded as posing a threat to international efforts to combat tax evasion.

In 2016, Cyprus also came under fire from a group of MEPs, arguing that the island’s citizenship-by-investment programme undermined the Schengen border-control system.

Cypriot officials have vigorously defended the naturalisation scheme, saying its investment requirements are far higher than in other places.

The investment amount is €2m if the investment is made solely in residential real estate, at least a quarter of which must be spent on a residence for life.

If not, the threshold is €2.5m, at least €500,000 of which must be spent on a permanent residence. In both cases, the requirement of a permanent residence ensures the investor remains closely engaged with Cyprus even if not actually obliged to live on the island.

By comparison, under Malta’s scheme, €350,000 must be spent on a residence, and it need only be held for five years.

Limassol plans low-cost housing units

THE INTERIOR Ministry on Tuesday announced its support for a Limassol municipality plan to build 500 low-cost housing units to address the problem of the high rents there.

The matter was discussed at a meeting between Interior Minister Constantinos Petrides and Limassol Mayor Nicos Nicolaides.

The municipality proposed to develop three properties, two in the Ayios Nicolaos area and one in Ayios Ioannis, for a total of 500 affordable housing units.

According to the proposal, these apartments would be built and sold over the next five years, either for rent or for purchase by young couples and families on the basis of income criteria, in a way that ensures the balanced composition of tenants of each block of flats.

Rents in Limassol have gone up by around 25 per cent in under two years, way faster than any other city in Cyprus and leaving ordinary Limassolians increasingly priced out of the market.

Local groups have protested that due to a concerted effort to attract foreign capital, partly through high-profile projects like the construction of tall buildings, a more expensive housing market has developed.

September 2018 building permits

Cyprus building permits - Seeptember 2018THE TOTAL number of building permits authorised in Cyprus during September 2018 stood at 588 compared with the 509 authorised during September 2017; a rise of 15.5% and provided for the construction of 576 new homes according to official figures published by the Cyprus Statistical Service.

Compared to September 2017, the total value of all building permits rose by 37.2% to reach €160.2 million and their total area rose by 47.2% to reach 155.2 thousand square metres.

During September 2018, building permits were issued for:

  • Residential buildings – 402 permits
  • Non-residential buildings – 119 permits
  • Civil engineering projects – 20 permits
  • Division of plots of land – 38 permits
  • Road construction – 9 permits

The 402 residential building permits approved in September provided for the construction of 576 new homes (dwellings) comprising 241 single houses and 335 multiple housing units such as apartments, semis, townhouses and other residential complexes.

Building Permits Issued for the Construction of New Homes
(Number of Dwellings)

Month 2017
(Dwellings)
2018
(Dwellings)
Increase/
Decrease
%age
Change
January 381 476 95 24.9%
February 383 431 48 12.5%
March 412 467 55 13.3%
April 289 418 129 49.6%
May
424 541 117 26.6%
June
381 506 125 32.8%
July
537
632
95
17.7%
August
244
453
209
85.7%
September
362
576
211
59.1%
Totals 3,413 4,500 1,087 31.8%

Of those 576 new residential homes, 191 were approved for Limassol, 183 for Nicosia, 82 for Famagusta, 76 for Paphos and 44 for Larnaca.

During the period January – September 2018, 4,702 building permits were issued compared to 4,281 in the corresponding period last year; an increase of 9.8%, while their total value and area increased by 45.8% and 32.2% respectively.

According to the Cyprus Statistical Service, building permits constitute a leading indicator of future activity in the construction sector.

Small rise in November property sales

Small rise in Cyprus property salesTHE NUMBER of property sales contracts deposited at Land Registry offices across the Republic of Cyprus during November 2018 rose by 2 per cent compared to November 2017 according to official figures published by the Department of Lands and Surveys.

Property sales have been rising for 19 consecutive months and November’s rise of 2% follows rises of 6% in October, 14% in September and 14% in August.

During November a total of 925 contracts for the sale of residential and commercial properties and land (building plots and fields) were deposited at Land Registry offices, compared with the 906 deposited in November 2017.

Of those 925 contracts, 497 (53.7%) were for properties purchased by Cypriots and 428 (46.3%) were for properties purchased by non-Cypriots; 143 by EU citizens and 285 by third country nationals.

The figures show a continuing improvement in the economic conditions, coupled with government incentives designed to boost property sales and drive foreign investment.

Although sales in Famagusta fell by 10% and those in Nicosia and Larnaca each fell by 5% compared with November 2017, they rose by 8% in Paphos and 7% in Limassol.

Total Property Sale Contracts – 2017/2018 Comparison

District Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia 2017 72
73
79
80 118 162 124 76 87 117 170 306
2018 146 96
126
117
153
146
176
91
118
145
161
Famagusta 2017 21
19 40
29
38 46
59 47 57 51 52 169
2018 48 52
40
52 79
61
61
50
45 57 47
Larnaca 2017 102
100 113
69
119 96
103 88 107 111 151 181
2018 112 99
116
83 113
133
112
94
121 116 143
Limassol 2017 132
177 232
192
298 304
289 201 203 306 321 532
2018 225 256
314
246 282
338
314
262
251 289 344
Paphos 2017 96
87 162
136
183 235
184 160 148 183 212 349
2018 164 163
172
157 201
180
233
156
152 204 230
Totals 2017 423
456 626
506
756 843
739 572 602 768 906 1537
2018 695 666 768 655 828 858 896 653 687 811 925

Property sales – year to date

During the first eleven months of 2018 sales have increased by 17% with the number of sale contracts deposited rising to 8,442 compared with the 7,197 deposited during the same period last year.

So far this year sales in Famagusta have risen 29% and sales in Nicosia have risen 27% Meanwhile sales in Limassol, Paphos, and Larnaca have risen 18%, 13% and 7% respectively.

An unknown number of sales resulted from properties acquired by banks as part of loan restructuring agreements, etc. and their subsequent sale.

Although the number of properties acquired and subsequently sold by the banks are not recorded separately, it’s been reported that the Bank of Cyprus’ Real Estate Management Unit (REMU) increased the real estate under management by 1,057 during the first nine months of 2018.

Furthermore, at the end of September 2018, the BoC’s balance sheet had 557 housing properties worth €163 million, 226 offices and other commercial properties worth €221 million, 56 manufacturing units worth €81 million, nine hotels (€37 million), 1,505 plots of land (€585 million), three golf courses (€265 million) and 61 buildings under construction (€78 million).

Overseas property sales

According to the Department’s statistics, a total of 428 property sale contracts were deposited by non-Cypriots during November 2018. Of those 143 (33.4%) were deposited by EU citizens and the remaining 285 (66.6%) by non-EU citizens.

Paphos remains the most popular district with the overseas market with the number of property sales contracts deposited reaching 166, while Limassol recorded 148, Larnaca 50, Famagusta 33 and Nicosia 20.

Overseas Property Sale Contracts – 2018

District Source Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia EU 10 8 9 10
9
8
11
5
10
8
7
Non-EU 10 4 13
14 9 15
10 2 11 11 13
Total 20 12 22 24 18 23 21 7 21 19 20
Famagusta EU 15 24 8
12 19 16 20 9 0 7 13
Non-EU 36 10 14
28 26 18 23 12 24 14 20
Total 51 34 22 40 45 34 43 21 24 21 33
Larnaca EU 9 9 9
6 9 20
15 11 15 13 11
Non-EU 43 46 40
36 49 52 56 36 46 57 50
Total 52 55 49 42 58 72 71 47 61 70 61
Limassol EU 15 17 32
17 19 22 25
24 11 27 38
Non-EU 103 87 83
67 94 109 95 64 65 86 110
Total 118 104 115 84 113 131 120 88 76 113 148
Paphos EU 41 58 55
49 70 60 79 55 49 91 74
Non-EU 105 97 74
87 88 65 92 53 71 89 92
Total 146 155 129 136 158 125 171 108 120 180 166
Totals EU 90 116 113
94 126 126 150 104 85 146 143
Non-EU 297 244 224
232 266 259 276 167 217 257 285
TOTAL 387 360 337 326 392 385 426 271 302 403 428

During the first eleven months of 2018, a total of 4,017 sales contracts were deposited by overseas buyers, with 1,293 (32.2%) deposited by EU nationals and 2,724 (67.8%) by non-EU nationals.

Limassol remains most popular place for non-EU citizens, while Paphos is favoured by the majority of EU citizens.

Cyprus Property Sale Contracts 2000 – 2018

Year Overseas Sales Domestic Sales Percentage
Overseas Sales
Total
Sales
2000 450 12,214 3.6% 12,664
2001 1,207 12,849 8.6% 14,056
2002 2,548 14,111 15.3% 16,659
2003 3,981 15,294 20.7% 19,275
2004 5,384 11,947 31.1% 17,331
2005 6,485 10,106 39.1% 16,591
2006 8,355 8,598 49.3% 16,953
2007 11,281 9,964 53.1% 21,245
2008 6,636 8,031 45.2% 14,667
2009 1,761 6,409 21.6% 8,170
2010 2,030 6,568 23.6% 8,598
2011 1,652 5,366 23.5% 7,018
2012 1,476 4,793 23.5% 6,269
2013 1,017 2,750 27.0% 3,767
2014 1,193 3,334 26.4% 4,527
2015 1,349 3,603 27.2% 4,952
2016
1,813 5,250 25.7% 7,063
2017
2,406 6,328 27.5% 8,734
2018 (Nov)
4,017 4,425 47.6% 8,442
Totals
65,041 151,940 30.0% 216,981