Property prices will continue to fall says bank chief

SPEAKING at a forum for finance managers held in Nicosia yesterday, senior managers from three of the Island’s banks outlined a gloomy future for the economy and called on government to take bolder steps to reverse the downward course.

Christos Stylianides, deputy CEO of the Marfin Laiki Bank said that “The Cyprus banking system dealt with the shocks of the global credit crisis. However, the government’s failure to take measures in time led to its consecutive downgrades by the rating firms and its inability to borrow from the foreign markets”.

“On the other hand banks are under constant pressures to increase their capital due to the haircut on Greek bonds, so we were forced to stop lending”, he added.

Mr Stylianides said that the liquidity problem in Cyprus is due to the policy pursued by the Cyprus government and especially the policy of the former Finance Minister, who tried to finance the deficits through domestic borrowing, which exacerbated the banks’ liquidity problem.

A further reason is the downgrading of the banks by the ratings agencies, which affects the inflow of deposits.

Marios Savvides, General Manager of the Piraeus Bank stressed there is cash but there is no liquidity in the market and although balance sheets show that cash is available, it is not available for lending.

He also agreed with Mr Stylianides that lending by the banks will be very restricted next year.

Mr Savvides also believes that property prices will continue to fall over the next six months.

Comment

Various reports indicate that the average Cypriot’s take home pay is around €20,000/annum, while the latest RICS Cyprus Property Price Index shows that the average price of a 3-bedroom, semi-detached house is €419,880; that is nearly 21 times the average Cypriot’s annual salary!

Compare this to the UK, where the average house price is around 6 times the average salary.

This would indicate that the property market in Cyprus has been manufactured as the average Cypriot cannot afford to buy a house without borrowing many times more than their annual salary.

In the past, banks were giving credit based on their expectations that the value of the underlying collateral (property) would continue to increase and this helped to fuel the boom in house sales.

But now that property prices have fallen, the underlying collateral is worth less – and in some cases it has fallen below the amount of money advanced under a mortgage. As the banks have been tightening their criteria for lending, this puts further downward pressure on property prices because their value depends on the willingness of the banks to lend.

How much further will property prices fall? Only time will tell.

Community taxes discriminatory to foreigners?

RESIDENTS living in a village some 10 miles to the south of Paphos town wrote to me complaining that the local taxes they were being charged by their local Community were higher than those being paid by their Cypriot friends and neighbours.

I suggested that they write to the Commissioner, expressing their concerns on this matter and it looks as if this advice may have paid off. A brief article on this issue was published in today’s Cyprus Mail:

Foreigners pay

THE COMMISSIONER said she had received many complaints about the amount of community taxes paid by European citizens.

In one case the crucial criteria concerned the imposition of higher duties to the inhabitants of the “coastal area” of a community, inhabited mainly by European citizens; and in another to the inhabitants of “villas” without specifying the separation of “houses” and “villas”.

“The Commissioner concluded that there is a prima facie issue of a possible indirect (covert) discrimination against them on the grounds of nationality/citizenship,” said the report.

Copyright © Cyprus Mail

As the article omits to mention the name of the Community, I cannot confirm that it is the same one that people complained to be about.

If anyone else has been the subject of this or any similar discriminatory practice involving the public authorities, they should complain to The Office of the Commissioner of Administration (Ombudsman) so that the matter can be investigated.

Transfer fee reductions could increase public revenue

THE PRESIDENT of the Republic of Cyprus has refused to sign the new Law on the abolition, for six months, of transfer fees, as, among other negative effects, according to the reasoning behind the refusal, the Law will deprive the public revenue of €40 million.

There are, however, ways, as I will try to explain, that will lead both to the reduction of Property Transfer Fees and the increase, by several millions of Euros, of public revenue.

In the last two years the Lands and Surveys Department has issued a large number (about 25,000) of new titles, even before the new Laws on Planning Amnesty took effect. Paradoxically, only one third of the purchasers of these properties appeared before the Land Registry for the transfer of titles in their name.

As a result the public was deprived of several tens of millions of Euros in Property Transfer Fees and probably in Capital Gains Tax or other taxes. There are several explanations about this.

The main reason is, no doubt, however, the lack of motive for the purchaser to complete the transfer of the property because of:

  1. the intolerable amount of the transfer fees,
  2. the fact that the Law allows the purchaser to complete the transfer at any time in the future, by paying the same amount as Property Transfer Fees, without any additional penalty for the delay and
  3. the possibility of tax evasion by the resale of the property through the procedure of a “Cancellation Agreement”.

The  trick of “Cancellation Agreements”, which  has grown significantly in recent years, is a procedure by which the payment of large amounts of Property Transfer Fees and taxes is avoided. More specifically:

  1. the original seller/developer and the original purchaser sign a Cancellation Agreement by which the original contract is cancelled,
  2. the original purchaser pays to the original seller a «cancellation fees»,
  3. a new Sale Agreement is signed between the original seller and the second purchaser,
  4. the original Contract of Sale is withdrawn from the Land Registry,
  5. the new Contract is deposited in the Land Registry and
  6. the title is transferred directly in the name of the second purchaser.

The practical consequences of this arrangement are:

  1. the first purchaser/developer receives an additional profit in the form of cancellation fees,
  2. the first purchaser/reseller avoids the payment of Property Transfer Fees and probably Capital Gains Tax or other taxes and
  3. the public revenue is deprived of many millions of Euros.

Although this procedure is obviously illegal, as it leads to tax evasion, there is no express provision in the legislation that prohibits it.

On the basis of the above, I have the strong view that the following measures should be taken immediately, by the amendment of the relevant legislation:

  1. reduction of the transfer fees rates,
  2. expressly providing  that the cancellation agreement procedure is illegal,
  3. the fixing of a deadline, after the issue of the title deed, within which the transfer must be completed and
  4. in the case of the non timely transfer of the title, an additional sum to be paid as  penalty, depending on the duration of the delay.

By these simple and practical measures, thousands of purchasers will be encouraged to appear promptly before the Land Registry for the transfer of the titles in their names, public revenues will increase by tens of millions of Euros, tax evasion will be reduced and the property market will be supported.

About the author

Andreas D. Symeou LL.B, M.Sc (U.L.A.) was the draughtsman of the original amendments to the Immovable Property (Tenure, Registration and Valuation) Law, which underwent many changes before being approved by parliament on 24th March 2011.

He is a property consultant and a Member of the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (MRICS) and may be contacted at [email protected]

Christofias says no to transfer fee changes

IN A MEMORANDUM President Christofias cites several reasons why the proposed changes to the law that would abolish and reduce Property Transfer Fees should be rejected, according to a report in today’s InBusinessNews.

The President said that the state could lose some €40 million in revenue if the property tax changes were implemented and that the property market would not benefit significantly from the proposals.

He also believes that the changes would put intense pressure on the Planning Authorities, Municipalities and Land Registries from the rush of those wishing to take advantage of the relaxation saying that it would be humanly impossible to process the workload created by tens of thousands of applications in six months.

The President also referred to the risk that cancellation agreements that have already been signed would benefit those who the changes are not intended to cover.

Finally, the President considered that although the law would apply for just six months, there is a risk that bogus contracts of sale could be submitted that would have the option of identifying the purchaser at some later date.

In light of President Christofias’ comments, the House of Representatives amended their proposals and these were passed by a majority vote by MPs earlier today. They will come into immediate effect on their publication in the Gazette and will remain in force for six months.

We will bring you further details once the changes have been published.

Overseas investors taking more interest in Cyprus

CYPRUS’ popularity as a destination for overseas property investors has increased according to the October ‘Top of the Props’ chart published by themovechannel.com, which looks at the number of on-line enquiries for property in different countries around the world.

The most popular investment destination for overseas property investors in October was Spain, with the USA in second place. These were followed by France and Portugal, in third and fourth places, followed by Italy, Turkey and Cyprus. The remaining three places are taken by Thailand, Bulgaria and Brazil.

The full breakdown of the Top 40 from TheMoveChannel.com is as follows:

RankCountryShareChange
1Spain18.01Non-mover
2USA9.27Up 2
3France7.93Down 1
4Portugal6.86Down 1
5Italy6.29Non-mover
6Turkey4.07Up 1
7Cyprus3.65Up 4
8Thailand3.17Up 7
9Bulgaria2.77Down 3
10Brazil2.67Down 2
11Greece2.33Up 1
12Malta2.23Up 2
13Barbados2.02Up 4
14Germany2.02Down 4
15Morocco1.84Down 6
16Egypt1.66Up 3
17Cape Verde1.61Up 4
18Poland1.19Up 2
19India1.01Down 3
20Switzerland1.01Up 7
21Hungary0.96Up 2
22Cayman Islands0.95Non-mover
23UAE0.95Up 5
24Croatia0.8Down 6
25Canada0.8Down 12
26Slovenia0.74Down 1
27Mexico0.68Up 13
28Australia0.49Down 4
29St Lucia0.43Down 3
30Jamaica0.41Up 1
31Indonesia0.38Down 1
32Montenegro0.35Down 3
33Malaysia0.2Up 8
34Austria0.19Up 2
35St Vincent and Grenadines0.19
36Albania0.18Down 1
37Singapore0.18
38Lithuania0.16
39Belize0.15
40Philippines0.15Down 1

Mari explosion slowed growth in construction sector

CYPRUS’ Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate during the third quarter of 2011 is estimated at -0.6% over the corresponding quarter of 2010, according to the Flash Estimate compiled by the Statistical Service.

The Statistical Service reported negative growth rates in construction, manufacturing, and electricity, and the trade and transport sectors.

Positive growth was reported in the tourism, banking and public services sectors.

Due to the fact that growth rates during the first two quarters were revised down, the overall growth rate for the year will be depressed.

The first quarter showed a decline of 0.3% over the previous quarter in Q1, while the previous estimate put the growth rate at zero.

Quarterly growth in the second quarter is now estimated at 0.2%, compared with 0.3% in the previous quarter.

Further reading

Latest Figures: GDP Growth Rate, 3rd Quarter 2011 (flash estimate)