House prices rise 0.8 per cent

Cyprus house prices rise 0.8 per centTHE CYPRUS Statistical Service (CYSTAT) has announced that prices for houses and apartments in Cyprus rose by an average by 0.8 per cent in the first quarter of 2019 compared to the previous quarter in its latest House Price Index (HPI).

The HPI also reports that residential property prices in Cyprus have risen by 4.3 percent on an annual basis.

According to the CYSTAT press release, the Cyprus House Price Index (HPI) “is a quarterly index which measures the change in the average prices of residential dwellings. It captures all types of residential properties, both new and existing. The land component of the residential property is included.

“The data source used for both, indices and weights, is the Department of Lands and Surveys, Ministry of Interior. The data cover all areas which are under the control of the government of the Republic of Cyprus.”

Year Quarter House Price Index (2015=100) Quarterly Change (Compared to the previous quarter) (%) Annual Change (Compared to the same quarter of the previous year) (%)
2010 Q1 114.37 -1.6 -6.6
Q2 112.79 -1.4 -6.9
Q3 112.39 -0.4 -5.7
Q4 112.05 -0.3 -3.6
2011 Q1 111.56 -0.4 -2.5
Q2 113.99 2.2 1.1
Q3 111.22 -2.4 -1.0
Q4 107.60 -3.2 -4.0
2012 Q1 106.40 -1.1 -4.6
Q2 106.02 -0.4 -7.0
Q3 110.14 3.9 -1.0
Q4 108.22 -1.7 0.6
2013 Q1 104.54 -3.4 -1.7
Q2 104.77 0.2 -1.2
Q3 103.05 -4.7 -9.3
Q4 100.78 0.9 -6.9
2014 Q1 98.08 -2.7 -6.2
Q2 103.55 5.6 -1.2
Q3 102.70 -0.8 2.8
Q4 101.56 -1.1 0.8
2015 Q1 97.52b
Q2 100.59 3.1
Q3 102.49 1.9
Q4 99.40 -3.0
2016 Q1 97.29 -2.1 -0.2
Q2 99.18 1.9 -1.4
Q3 101.87 2.7 -0.6
Q4 102.72 0.8 3.3
2017 Q1 99.64 -3.0 2.4
Q2 102.74 3.1 3.6
Q3 102.46 -0.3 0.6
Q4 105.24 2.7 2.4
2018 Q1 103.34 -1.8 3.7
Q2 103.98 0.6 1.2
Q3 103.30 -0.7 0.8
Q4 106.95 3.5 1.6
2019 Q1 107.78 0.8 4.4
Q2
Q3
Q4

b There is a break in the series in the first quarter of 2015 due to redefinition of the model variables.

Building permits authorised for 907 new homes

THE TOTAL number of building permits authorised in Cyprus during May 2019 stood at 709 compared with the 612 authorised during May 2018; an increase of 15.8% according to official figures published by the Cyprus Statistical Service.

The total value of these permits more than doubled to reach €287.9 million and the total area rose 82% to reach 258.5 thousand square metres compared to May 2018.

These permits provided for the construction of 907 new homes, an increase of 67.7% compared to the 541 new homes in May 2018.

During May 2019, building permits were authorised for:

  • Residential buildings – 445 permits
  • Non-residential buildings – 99 permits
  • Civil engineering projects – 27 permits
  • Division of plots of land – 24 permits
  • Road construction – 17 permits

Building permits for new homes

The 445 residential building permits authorised in May 2019 provided for the construction of 907 new homes (dwellings). These comprised 310 single houses (compared with 305 in May 2018) and 597 multiple housing units including apartments, semis, townhouses and other residential complexes (compared with 236 in May 2018).

Of those 907 new homes, 307 are destined for Nicosia, 260 for Limassol , 157 for Larnaca, 137 for Paphos and 46 for Famagusta.

Building Permits Issued for the Construction of New Homes
(Number of Dwellings)

Month 2018 (Dwellings) 2019 (Dwellings) Increase/Decrease %age Change
January 476 548 72 15.1%
February
431
576 145 33.6%
March
467
615 148 31.7%
April
418
742
324
77.5%
May
541
907
366
67.7%
Totals 2,333 3,388 1,055 45.2%

Annual construction figures

During the period January – May 2019, 2,820 building permits were authorised compared to 2,596 in the same period last year.  Their total value increased by 128.2% and their total area by 53.8%. The number of new homes authorised rose by 45.2%.

The 2,820 permits issued over the period provided for the construction of 1,263 new homes in Limassol, 1,045 in Nicosia, 457 in Larnaca, 424 in Paphos and 109 in Famagusta.

According to the Cyprus Statistical Service, building permits constitute a leading indicator of future activity in the construction sector.

New criteria for passport scheme

THE NEW criteria for the citizenship by investment scheme, which were approved by the Council of Ministers in February and will include the carrying out of due diligence on applicants, have been finalised with some small amendments and will come into force next week.

The bad press and criticism from the European Commission forced the government to introduce stricter criteria for the scheme which issues a Cyprus passport to individuals that invest more than €2 million. These investments were usually in luxury real estate and were largely responsible for the construction boom of the last few years.

Three firms that have been chosen, but not named, will now carry out due diligence on every applicant. Until now the only requirement for an applicant to be eligible was a clean criminal record, and no questions were asked about the source of the investment funds. This gave rise to accusations of money laundering and prompted Moneyval to call for tougher criteria. The due diligence checks will cost the government €1.4 million a year.

Two weeks ago, the cabinet put the final touches to the new criteria, according to Kathimerini newspaper on Wednesday. It set out the criteria for excluding politically exposed persons (PEP) and individuals under sanctions, that until now were judged on a case by case basis.

The rules governing the obligatory payment of €75,000 each to the Research and Innovation Foundation and the Cyprus Organisation of Land Development (Koag) were also finalised reported Kathimerini. The amounts would be paid once the application has been approved and before the passport was issued. The payment to Koag is intended to assist the government programme for accessible housing.

The contribution to the foundation will be waived if the applicant invested the same amount to a certified innovative business or a certified social company. It would also be waived if the applicant invested 20 per cent of the minimum amount for citizenship (€400,000) in a Cyprus company involved in the primary or secondary sector of the economy or in the fields of research, technology, education, health and renewable energy.

Investments of up to €200,000 in the secondary market of the Cyprus Stock Exchange, which was restricted to investment funds, will now be opened up to individuals as result of the third amendment to the scheme originally approved in February, reported Kathimerini.

This would be the fifth re-drafting of the passport scheme since its introduction in 2013, but whether it will be the last remains to be seen.

July property sales hold steady (update)

July property sales hold steadyJULY saw the same number of property sales in Cyprus as during the corresponding month last year, with the number of sales contracts deposited at Land Registry offices totalling 896 according to official figures published by the Department of Lands and Surveys.

Of the 896 contracts that were deposited for the sale of commercial property, residential property, building plots and land, 476 (53%) were deposited by Cypriots and the remaining 420 (47%) by foreign nationals of whom 31% (146) were EU citizens and 69% (274) were non-EU citizens.

With the exception of Larnaca, where sales rose by 40% compared with July 2018, they fell in the remaining four districts.

In percentage terms, Famagusta recorded the greatest fall of 20%, while property sales in Limassol fell by 9% and sales in Paphos and Nicosia each fell by 1%.

Total Property Sale Contracts – 2018/2019 Comparison

District Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia 2018 146 96 126 117 153 146 176 91 118 145 161 131
2019 161 194 131 169 213 145 174
Famagusta 2018 48 52 40 52 79 61 61 50 45 57 47 48
2019 53 48 45 96 87 43 49
Larnaca 2018 112 99 116 83 113 133 112 94 121 116 143 103
2019 114 125 118 140 173 102 157
Limassol 2018 225 256 314 246 282 338 314 262 251 289 344 290
2019 251 256 287 428 546 219 286
Paphos 2018 164 163 172 157 201 180 233 156 152 204 230 230
2019 187 211 185 224 404 205 230
Totals 2018 695 666 768 655 828 858 896 653 687 811 925 800
2019 766 834 766 1057 1423 714 896

Property sales – year to date

During the first seven months of 2019, the number of sales has increased by 20.3% to reach 6456 compared to 5366 in the corresponding period of last year.

In percentage terms, sales in Paphos have risen by 29.6% and sales in Nicosia have risen by 23.6%. Meanwhile sales in sales in Larnaca have risen 21.0%, sales in Limassol have risen 15.1% and sales in Famagusta have risen by 7.1%. However, in terms of the total number of sales Limassol leads the way with 2273.

Domestic property sales

Sales to the Cypriot market rose 1% in July compared to July 2018. But although sales in Larnaca rose by 120%, they fell in the remaining four districts.

Sales in Famagusta fell by 90%, while sales in Paphos, Limassol and Nicosia fell by 13%, 9% and 1% respectively.

During the first seven months of 2019, domestic sales rose by 29% compared with the same period last year.

Domestic Property Sale Contracts – 2018/2019 Comparison

District Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia 2018 126 84 104 93 135 123 155 84 97 126 141 108
2019 127 164 115 137 168 121 153
Famagusta 2018 -3 18 18 12 34 27 18 29 21 36 14 29
2019 32 19 16 58 45 25 2
Larnaca 2018 60 44 67 41 55 61 41 47 60 46 82 52
2019 54 82 47 73 83 42 90
Limassol 2018 107 152 199 162 169 207 194 174 175 176 196 201
2019 166 152 192 291 329 138 177
Paphos 2018 18 8 43 21 43 55 62 48 32 24 64 60
2019 30 31 28 69 175 69 54
Totals 2018 308 306 431 329 436 473 470 382 385 408 497 450
2019 409 448 398 628 800 395 476

However, some of these domestic sales may have resulted from properties acquired by banks as part of loan restructuring agreements, etc.

Overseas property sales

Property sales to the overseas (non-Cypriot) market during July 2019 fell by 1% with 420 contracts of sale deposited compared with 426 in July 2018.

While sales in Famagusta and Paphos rose by 9% and 3% respectively and sales in Nicosia remained steady, Sales in Limassol and Larnaca fell by 9% and 6% respectively.

During the first seven months of 2019, sales to the overseas rose by 11% compared with the same period last year.

Total Overseas Property Sale Contracts – 2018/2019 Comparison

District Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia 2018 20 12 22 24 18 23 21 7 21 19 20 23
2019 34 30 16 32 45 24 21
Famagusta 2018 51 34 22 40 45 34 43 21 24 21 33 17
2019 21 29 29 38 42 18 47
Larnaca 2018 52 55 49 42 58 72 71 47 61 70 61 51
2019 60 43 71 67 90 60 67
Limassol 2018 118 104 115 84 113 131 120 88 76 113 148 89
2019 85 104 95 137 217 81 109
Paphos 2018 146 155 129 136 158 125 171 108 120 180 166 170
2019 157 180 157 155 229 136 176
Totals 2018 387 360 337 326 392 385 426 271 302 403 428 350
2019 357 386 368 429 623 319 420

Overseas sales (EU nationals)

Property sales to EU nationals fell 3% in July compared with July 2018.

Although sales in Nicosia, Limassol and Larnaca rose by 18%, 8% and 7% respectively, they fell by 15% in Famagusta and by 8% in Paphos.

During the first seven months of 2019, sales to EU nationals rose by 10% compared with the same period last year.

Foreign (EU) Property Sale Contracts – 2018/2019 Comparison

District Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia 2018 10 8 8 10 9 8 11 5 10 8 7 15
2019 14 14 9 19 20 16 13
Famagusta 2018 15 24 8 12 19 16 20 9 0 7 13 6
2019 9 6 14 17 10 8 17
Larnaca 2018 9 9 9 6 9 20 15 11 15 13 11 19
2019 12 12 21 18 20 11 16
Limassol 2018 15 17 32 17 19 22 25 24 11 27 38 20
2019 16 25 20 21 28 26 27
Paphos 2018 41 58 55 49 70 60 79 55 49 91 74 73
2019 56 72 61 48 69 59 73
Totals 2018 90 116 113 94 126 126 150 104 85 146 143 135
2019 107 129 125 123 147 120 146

Overseas sales (non-EU nationals)

Sales to non-EU nationals fell 1% in July compared with the same month last year, with sales falling in all districts with the exception of Famagusta and Paphos, where they rose by 30% and 12% respectively.

Sales in Nicosia fell by 20%, sales in Limassol fell by 14% and sales in Larnaca fell by 9%.

Sales in Limassol fell by 50%, sales in Nicosia fell by 47%, while sales in Famagusta and Larnaca fell by 44% and 6% respectively.

During the first seven months of 2019, property sales to non-EU nationals rose by 12% compared with the same period last year.

Foreign (Non-EU) Property Sale Contracts – 2018/2019 Comparison

District Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nicosia 2018 10 4 13 14 9 15 10 2 11 11 13 8
2019 20 17 7 13 25 8 8
Famagusta 2018 36 10 14 28 26 18 23 12 24 14 20 9
2019 12 23 15 21 32 10 30
Larnaca 2018 43 46 40 36 49 52 56 36 46 57 50 32
2019 48 31 50 49 70 49 51
Limassol 2018 103 87 83 67 94 109 95 64 65 87 110 69
2019 69 79 75 116 189 55 82
Paphos 2018 105 97 74 87 88 65 92 53 71 89 92 97
2019 101 108 96 107 160 77 103
Totals 2018 297 244 224 232 266 259 276 167 217 257 285 215
2019 250 257 243 306 476 199 274

Analysis of property sales since 2000

Cyprus Property Sale Contracts 2000 – 2019

Year Overseas Sales Domestic Sales Percentage
Overseas Sales
Total
Sales
2000 450 12,214 3.6% 12,664
2001 1,207 12,849 8.6% 14,056
2002 2,548 14,111 15.3% 16,659
2003 3,981 15,294 20.7% 19,275
2004 5,384 11,947 31.1% 17,331
2005 6,485 10,106 39.1% 16,591
2006 8,355 8,598 49.3% 16,953
2007 11,281 9,964 53.1% 21,245
2008 6,636 8,031 45.2% 14,667
2009 1,761 6,409 21.6% 8,170
2010 2,030 6,568 23.6% 8,598
2011 1,652 5,366 23.5% 7,018
2012 1,476 4,793 23.5% 6,269
2013 1,017 2,750 27.0% 3,767
2014 1,193 3,334 26.4% 4,527
2015 1,349 3,603 27.2% 4,952
2016
1,813 5,250 25.7% 7,063
2017
2,406 6,328 27.5% 8,734
20181 4,367 4,875 47.3% 9,242
2019 (Jul)
2,902 3,554 44.6% 6,456
Totals
68,293 155,944 43.79% 224,237

1 The Department of Lands & Surveys has advised that overseas sales in 2018 and subsequent year should not be compared to sales in previous years due to changes in the methodology used to classify ‘Aliens’ (foreigners).

Foreclosures highlight we are the eternal victims

I CANNOT say I understood the half-baked solution the legislature came up with on Friday regarding the row with the president over foreclosures, but will have to accept that the new Diko proposal will not be as catastrophic for the banking system as the law of July 12 which was vetoed by Prez Nik.

Disy obviously reached a compromise with Diko whereby the latter accepted the president’s veto and, in exchange the former, backed a new less effective law drafted by Junior’s party in an attempt to save some face. It had, after all, voted for the original law and its deputies led the campaign for the protection of people who were not repaying their loans.

In Kyproulla, people that refuse to honour the loan contracts they signed and do not repay their loans have the status of victims being persecuted by the greedy and evil banks that, quite unreasonably, want their money back and are ruthlessly resorting to the law in an effort to recover it so as to avoid bankruptcy.

It is very much a case of good versus evil, as the commie mouthpiece, Haravghi never tires of pointing out. “The policies of the banks are leading to mass foreclosures of the primary residence, while the government, with the veto of the law supports the banks instead of the borrowers,” it wrote a few days ago.

As always, it omitted to inform us the actual number of the mass foreclosures. If they were being done on a mass scale, I am sure it would have given the number.

THERE WOULD also have been more victims of the mass foreclosures demonstrating outside the legislature on Friday when the president’s veto was being discussed. There were probably more policemen than demonstrators representing the Movement Against Foreclosures and the Movement for the Protection of Borrowers.

Where were all the victims of the banks? The few that did show up held banners demanding ‘Cyprus without evictions’ and ‘Housing is a sacred right and not merchandise.’ The parties, with their idiotic populism have made people believe they have a sacred right not repay their loans on the house they are living in (primary residence), a right many are exercising to the full.

It is not only home-owners that parties want to protect, but also small businesses. ‘Professional premises’ are also protected against foreclosures, which, in effect, gives the business not repaying its loan an advantage over its competitor that is foolishly repaying it or paying rent.

That banks are often unreasonable and heavy-handed in the negotiations for restructuring of loans is probably correct, but like any business they are interested in the bottom line and not in pursuing socially sensitive policy. The bank that followed the socially sensitive business model, the co-op, is bankrupt, having left an €8 billion debt to the taxpayer – the only real victim of our caring and compassionate political parties.

ALL THIS is perfectly in line with our national mentality of never taking responsibility for our actions and decisions. It is not the fault of an individual if he took a loan that he could not repay because he wanted a house he could not afford or if he borrowed money to buy a flash car with no intention of paying it back. The banks were exclusively to blame.

The bank had a share of the blame for giving loans so easily, without bothering to check the borrower’s finances, but let’s face it, no bank ever dragged people off the street and put a gun to their head to force them to sign a housing loan. The so-called victim, ultimately, had a big say in the matter and the bank would not have sued him if he decided not take a loan.

In Kyproulla the problems we create are always blamed on someone else because we are the eternal victims of banks, roads, big business, Nato, Britain, the US, society, the weather, the police, the referee, the linesman etc.

Compromise foreclosures bill passed by MPs

Compromise foreclosures bill passed by MPsPARLIAMENT on Friday accepted a presidential veto to a bill amending the foreclosures law with potentially negative effects on banks and the economy and approved a compromise proposal designed to protect vulnerable borrowers.

The bill in question had been passed by opposition parties on July 12 who said they wanted to introduce additional safeguards for homeowners with mortgages they are unable to service and to restore the negotiating balance between lenders and borrowers.

President Nicos Anastasiades vetoed the bill amid warnings from the European Central Bank, the Single Supervisory Mechanism, and national authorities, that it would weaken the foreclosures legislation and seriously impact the financial system and the economy.

Ruling Disy supported a Diko compromise proposal that affords borrowers with bad debts the ability to seek recourse with the financial ombudsman who will decide whether a lender had violated the central bank’s code of ethics regarding loan restructuring.

If the ombudsman decides there is a violation, the borrower can then seek a court injunction halting the foreclosures procedure.

Speaking before the House finance committee ahead of the vote, Finance Minister Harris Georgiades recommended to MPs to uphold the veto to give time to examine Diko’s compromise proposal.

“We insist on our position in favour of accepting the veto to give enough time for the proposals to be examined in-depth and be evaluated by the central bank of Cyprus and secure a legal opinion from the European Central Bank,” the minister said.

He added that Diko’s proposal appeared to be an improvement from what was passed two weeks ago.

Despite this, “our suggestion continues to be in favour of the veto so as not to make any hasty decision,” Georgiades said.

He was echoed by central bank governor Constantinos Herodotou who asked for time to come up with a viable mechanism that will be approved by the ECB and the SSM.

Herodotou said he respected the concerns voiced by MPs but the mechanism should not be general and cause “delays in the banks’ efforts and affect financial stability, nor should it be exploited by borrowers who might want to stall.”

The governor said the new amendment had “fewer negative effects.”

Financial ombudsman Pavlos Ioannou reiterated his suggestion to postpone discussion of the matter until October but he added that Diko’s new proposal was good.

Anastasiades told parliament that he was vetoing the bill because it effectively rendered the foreclosures law ineffective, raising the risk of downgrades for the island’s banks and the economy.

The changes would impact “the values of the collateral, straining bank balance sheets and leading to demands from supervisors for additional provisions and fresh capital,” the president said.

The July 12 amendments passed almost a year after improvements to the foreclosures framework were adopted in response to International Monetary Fund and European Union pressure that facilitated banks’ efforts to foreclose and which have started to produce results.

They allow the defaulted borrower to obtain a court decision that stalls a foreclosures process if it is proved that a bank has not taken all necessary actions required by the central bank directive to restructure a non performing loan.

At the same time, the amendments clearly state the reasons a defaulted borrower can cite to challenge the auction of the property.

Amendments also include, among others, extending to 45 days from 30 days the payment due date following a notice and the auction of a property following a notice; and preventing the sale of a property at below 80 per cent of its market value for six months, from three months previously, while maintaining a floor of 50 per cent of the market value for any potential sale.