Title Deeds, transfers, mortgages and permits report

THE Department of Lands and Surveys has recently published its second quarterly progress reviews of the issuance of building and planning permits, certificates, and title deeds, as well as title deed transfers and related mortgage operations as agreed with the Troika.

The statistics, which are in Greek and English, are available below the commentary below.

?????? ???????? – ????????

? ?????? ??? ????????????? ?????????? ??????? ?????????, ???? ??????? ??????, ???? ??? ?????????? ??? ???????? ??? ??????????? ??????? ??? ?????? ??? ??? ??? ???????? ?????????? ??? ??? ?????? ??? ?????????????? ???????.

??????, ? ????????????? ?????? ??? ?????????? ?? ??????????? ????? ?????????, ??? ??????????, ???????????? ??? ?????? ??????? ???? ??????? ????????? ??? ???? ???? ?? ????????? ?? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ????? ??? ???????? ????????. ???? ??? ?????? ??????? ? ??????? ???? ???????? ??????????? ?? ???????? ??????????? ????????, ?? ??????? ????? ???????????? ??? ???????????? ?????????????? ???????.

?????? ??????????? ???????

?? ????? ??? ?????????? ???????????? ?? ?????? ?????? ??? ???????? ???????????? ????? ????? ??? ??????????? ??? ????:

  • ? ?????????? ?????????? ????????? ?? ???????? ?? ???????? ??????? ?????????. ???? ????????? ? ????????? ?????? ????????? ??? ?????? ??? ?????????????? ????????? ???. ??? ???????? ??? ???? ?????????.
  • ? ?????????? ?????, ? ????? ???????? ??? ???? ??? ?????????? ??? ??????????? ???? ??? ?? ????????? ?? ????????? ?? ??????? ?? ?????????? ?? ????????????? ?????????? ??? ?????????????.

?? ???????????? ????????, ???? ?????? ???????, ????? ????????? ????????????????? ????????.

?????? ?????? ??????????? ??? ??????????? ??? ???????? ????????????

? ?????? ??? ?????? ??????????? ?????????? ??? ???????? ?????? ???? ???? ????? ???????? – ????????. ????????????? ???????????? ??????????? ??? ?? ????? ????????????? ??? ??????????? ??? ???? ???????? ??? ??? ?? ????????? ??????????, ???? ?? ?????????????? ????? ??? ?? ?????????? ??????? (?????? ?????????, ????????????? ??????? ????????, ???????? ????????????? ????????, ?.?.) ?? ????? ??? ?????????? ??? ????????? ??? ?????? ??? ?????? ???????????. ????????? ???, ?? ?????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ????????, ?????????????? ???? ?????? ???? ???????? ????? ???????????????? .

????????? ???????

???? ??? ????????????? ?????? ???? ?????????? ?????????? ???? ??? ??? ????????? ??? ???????????? ??? ????????????? ???? ???? ????? ????????? ???? ?????? ?????????? ??? ????? ??????? (???????? ???????????, ?.?.), ?????????????? ? ???????????? ?????? ??? ?????? ???? ?????????? ???????? ???????? ???????????. ?? ????????? ???? ?????? ?? ???????????? ??? ?? 2010 ??? ????????? ??? ???????? ?????? ????? ??????.

Statistics

Mortgage statistics ? 2013

Certificates of Registration (Title Deeds) issued for development projects ? 2013

General statistics for development projects (permit applications, title transfers, etc)

Unfortunately the statistics still do not show what progress is being made towards reducing the estimated 120,000 – 130,000 backlog of Title Deeds waiting to be issued.

Government plans to offer homeowner rescue scheme

homeowner rescue schemeTHE GOVERNMENT is stepping in to help homeowners who are unable to repay their mortgage to commercial banks.

A Ministry of Finance official told the House Human Rights Committee that a plan is being drafted providing that homeowners who have mortgaged their first residence for up to €200,000 can apply to the government for relief in case they are unable to service their loan.

The government will purchase their home, but they will have the right to become tenants paying a nominal rent. They can also start repaying their loan under favourable terms over a long period.

Debt relief or foreclosures?

MEMBERS of parliament are contemplating passing a bill whereby a first home would be exempt from foreclosure by banks, despite the lenders’ attempt to recover as much as they can from non-performing loans estimated to run into several billion euros.

Even the Central Bank said it may allow a haircut on non-performing loans as part of a restructuring plan with many hoping that a debt relief programme would follow to assist households who can no longer afford to maintain their mortgage repayments.

Whatever the outcome of the current debate, adopting the Icelandic model for debt relief announced last week seems far-fetched for now, as the battered Cyprus banks need to win back the public’s trust and revive confidence in the market, while no other EU or international institution would be prepared to foot the bill.

On the contrary, leading figures from the property industry are now trying to raise public and political support for alternative solutions, such as converting developers’ asset-backed loans that are trapped in the banks and introducing sale-and-leaseback alternatives.

Lakis Tofarides, Cyprus member of the international real estate federation FIABCI said that for the property market to recover and the economy to get going again, the banks need to stabilise first. The best way to do that would be to convert the short-term loans taken out by developers in order to buy the land to build a project into long-term loans.

“Short-term loans were taken out to buy the land. Once the ground-breaking took place, the developer would then take out a long-term loan to finance the project, while deposits and first sales would help pay down the initial loan,” the veteran real estate professional said.

Tofarides said he opposed total debt relief, because that would burden the taxpayer, while it would also prolong debt recovery for the banks that in turn would delay restructuring property loans for ordinary people. He said that press reports that about 6,000 foreclosures were underway were “ludicrous” and that these “would never happen.”

The government in Reykjavik unveiled a mortgage debt relief programme worth 150 bln krona (900 mln euros), financed by a tax hike on banks and a haircut on debts owed to overseas investors in Iceland’s failed banks.

The plan, said to be the beginning of an “economic renaissance”, will apply to 1.36 trln krona (8.3 bln euros) in mortgages linked to inflation, with a maximum limit of 4 mln krona (24,360 euros) per household. Mortgage holders will also be given tax breaks to encourage them to use pension savings to pay down their borrowing.

The government said it would finance the measure through tax hikes on financial institutions and a haircut on around 2.9 bln euros in debts owed to overseas investors in Iceland’s failed banks, which collapsed in late 2008.

Buying debt at a discount

Those debts are now mainly held by hedge funds, which bought them at a deep discount, similar to investors seeking to buy Bank of Cyprus deposits-turned-shares at a discount of 30-40 cents on the euro. In any case, deputies in Cyprus are trying to invite an expert from Iceland in order to testify on the mortgage debt relief programme announced there.

Property consultant and chartered surveyor Charalambos Petrides said that there were other alternatives.

He said that one measure that is gaining popularity is the sale-and-leaseback, whereby the bank would take the securitised mortgage and allow the tenant to stay on the property, paying back the remainder of the loan in the form of a rent.

“This way, banks would be able to change these mortgaged properties from liabilities to assets,” he said, adding that billions that remain trapped in the banks could be released.

Tofarides and Petrides said that their suggestions, as well as others, had been discussed with technocrats from the Troika of international lenders, who assured them that banks do not need to be burdened with more NPLs, mortgages and assets they cannot get rid of.

NPL definition is “foolish”

John Hourican, the new CEO at the Bank of Cyprus, told shareholders on November 31 that the Central Bank’s definition of NPLs was “foolish” and that billions remained trapped in banks, unable to generate business. Any loan that has not been serviced for 90 days is now termed an NPL, while six months have to pass from the resumption of repayments in order for it to be reinstated as a performing loan.

This was a vicious cycle that would prolong recession, unless the old definition is reinstated, Hourican said.

Needs a culture change

He said that there needs to be a culture change, whereby loans should no longer be asset-backed or linked to mortgages, but must first be checked if the borrower is viable and has a healthy debt-repayment plan in place.

The Central Bank, meanwhile, issued a stark warning to banks to change their attitude towards borrowers in efforts to prevent the seizure and subsequent sale of primary homes.

The Central Bank has called on banks to help borrowers restructure their mortgages and even went as far as giving notice that there could be a haircut on non-performing loans in efforts to facilitate their repayment.

A Central Bank source was quoted as saying that that the 30 largest borrowers have bank debts totalling 6 bln euros and that priority will be given to the seizure and sale of their property.

Last week, the Central Bank issued a clarification saying that the option for a full or partial debt write off “must be used only in extreme cases.”

debt relief or foreclosure

Cut interest rates, write off debt …

household debtVARIOUS bankers have come out against cutting lending interest rates and in favour of extending the loan repayment period.

The reason is simple: an interest rate reduction of around 3 percent on the overall loan portfolio of Cypriot banks would entail an annual drop in interest payments by borrowers of some €1.74bn (or 3 percent of €58bn).

Falling revenues from interest (including interest on late payments) would seriously deplete banks’ profits as well as their capital base. These losses may therefore necessitate a new haircut, the bankers argue. Fair enough. But could it be that all these ‘massive’ revenues from the interest (which incidentally happens to be the highest in Europe) are in fact illusory, given that most borrowers today cannot (nor will they ever be able to) service their interest payments? Incidentally, no mention is made here of paying down the principal. One can conclude therefore that we are living in a sort of banking dreamland, and important decisions need to be made to correct the problem.

The current ‘recession’ in Cyprus is the outcome of the havoc wreaked upon society and the economy following the recapitalisation of domestic banks via the ‘bail-in’, or haircut on deposits. Other reasons are the reckless over-lending to households and businesses, excessive public debt and deficits and so forth.

Thus the government as well as the ‘recapitalised’ domestic banks must realise that, in order for the economy to grow on a solid foundation, household and business debt should be immediately – and significantly- reduced. Interest on late payments and charges on delinquent loans should be written off immediately, including capital interest which borrowers will never be able to pay off mainly because of prior exorbitant extortionate charges levied by domestic banks.

Just days ago, and six years after its banks went bankrupt, Iceland went ahead with a debt write-off for households, targeting mortgage debt in particular. The write-off of €25,000 per mortgage will directly benefit around 85 per cent of households.

Moreover, whereas in Cyprus deposit rates have been seriously scaled back – though they began rising a little this month – current as well as new lending rates remain sky-high instead of being slashed by a corresponding amount (or even perhaps more than that). The slight reductions in lending rates recently announced – a public relations stunt more than anything else – are not sufficient.

In order for the economy to reboot, businesses need access to cheap credit. The Cyprus government must take a close look at the excessive household and business debt, and urgently raise the issue of possible debt write-offs, obviously under certain conditions and restrictions.

Dr. George Mountis
Regional Managing Partner
Banking | Wealth & Trust | Asset Management advisory
P.P. (The Parthenon Partners) & Co
Tel: + 357 – 99 49 41 42
Email: [email protected]
Web: www.theparthenonpartners.com

Applications for residency on the rise

Source: South China Morning Post
Source: South China Morning Post

AROUND 900 applications for residency and citizenship by were filed by third-country nationals in the last two years.

The rise in permits is in response to amendments in legislation, implemented on August 2012 and May 2013, making it easier for wealthy non-EU residents to get Cypriot citizenship

Under the new legislation, non-EU residents have the opportunity to acquire a permanent residency permit with the purchase of a private home or apartments of at least €300,000 and deposits of minimum €30,000 in a local bank for three years.

Last May the cabinet decided to add extra incentive, deciding that that residency would be extended to the applicants children, provided they were financially dependent on their parents or were students under the age of 25.

Applicants – who need a clean criminal record – need to prove they have an annual income of €30,000 a year from operations abroad (each dependent person raises the amount by €5,000 a year). They also need to show they have paid up at least €200,000 for a property worth a minimum €300,000 before VAT.

The numbers were announced during a cabinet meeting under President Nicos Anastasiades on Thursday.

It is estimated that a sum of almost €300 million was injected to the local economy already. Around €270 million was paid for immovable property and another €27 million was deposited in banks for the next three years.

Interior ministry officials characterised the steps taken towards ensuring a revitalising of the economy as beneficial, especially for the construction industry, which has suffered a severe blow due to the financial crisis.

Cyprus Mail reported in August that the vast majority of applicants are Chinese and Russian.

In 2012, some 29 Chinese nationals applied for permanent residency in Cyprus compared with 445 applications so far this year, according to data from the migration department.

Applications from Chinese also made up the bulk of some 744 applications in total filed this year by non-EU nationals.

Russians, thousands of whom already live on the island, made up the bulk of the rest of this year’s applications although applications dropped from 267 last year to 173 this year.

Over half of the 423 applications filed last year, came from Russians (267). Cyprus’ 2011 population census placed the Russian population on the island at 9,000. Some of them were among the depositors of what was the island’s second largest bank, Laiki, and saw their savings of over €100,000 disappear overnight when Cyprus was forced to shut down the bank.

Applications for residency on the rise

You can’t produce a baby in one month

patienceOVER the past months Cyprus’ society has learned various things about the scale of its economic and financial problems and the next steps forward.

Based on the Central Banks’ new definition of non-performing loans (NPLs), the Bank of Cyprus had 36% of NPLs up to Q2 2013, whilst Hellenic Bank and the COOPs had 44% and 45% respectively in the first nine months.

The review of the Troika at the start of November “went well” – whatever that means – with the Troika reminding the government that it is to provide it with a privatization schedule before Christmas. The ‘carrot’ to the government was the ‘you are on track’ and the ‘stick’ that ‘no privatization schedule, means no next tranche of money’.

Various business associations, industrial organizations and vociferous politicians have been calling for interest on existing loans to be significantly reduced. The logic is, that if businesses have lower financing costs on existing loans, then they may be able to pay them back more easily, which would improve the overall picture of NPLs and release working capital.

A similar approach was taken in the UK, where the Bank of England slashed interest rates to 0.5%, thus reducing the effective rate on mortgage loans to under 2.0% and safeguarding banks from an increase in NPLs. Whilst the ECB has taken similar steps, this month reducing interest rates to 0.5%, this does not translate to lower interest payments for borrowers in Cyprus as most loans are linked to each bank’s own base rate, which is set separately by the bank and does not necessarily relate to that of the ECB. Local banks ‘need’ to charge higher rates because they get their financing from depositors, rather than capital markets and in order to mitigate part of the losses from their NPLs.

Politicians have called for a ‘haircut’ on loans (barbers must feel so cool right now); a blanket ‘haircut’ on debt is ill-advised as it will entice even those (few) who are paying them back to stop paying altogether. This in turn will lead to less money recoverable from banks and COOPs, which will worsen their capital adequacy ratios and make depositors even more worried about another ‘haircut’ on their savings.

Furthermore, it creates a moral hazard; a moral hazard is a situation where a party will have a tendency to take risks because the costs that could result will not be felt by the party taking the risk. A ‘haircut’ on loans would benefit those who borrowed money during the boom and who can’t pay it back, rather than those who (1) didn’t borrow money, (2) are paying it back.

Banks continue to deleverage slower than they are shedding deposits. Following the overall increase in credits outstanding, together with continuing deposit loss is translating to increased loans-to-deposits ratios. The illiquidity of the banks raises lots of questions, not only on how interest rates could possibly decline, but also on how the credit crunch can possibly be reversed at all. This is why banks have been progressively inviting people and companies to restructure their NPLs.

Loan restructuring means, in its majority, a longer repayment period typically at the same or a higher interest rate. Whilst the borrower pays less on a monthly basis, over the lifetime of the loan they end up paying considerably more. Thus, a restructured loan immediately reduces a bank’s NPLs and increases its profitability in the medium to longer term.

So, what’s next? There is considerable mistrust in the marketplace, with companies and people struggling due to the lack of turnover and liquidity constraints. This will slowly subside, but in the near term it will continue to cause problems.

Of more concern is that Cyprus has no more Cyprus-owned banks. Cyprus Popular Bank has gone to bank-heaven (or…?), Bank of Cyprus is 60% owned by non-Cypriots and Hellenic Bank is 30% respectively owned by US hedge fund Third Point and Belarus-owned Wargaming.

What’s the problem with that you might ask? Well, combine high NPLs with the Troika’s requirements to make foreclosures easier and what you get is an easier mechanism to ‘crack down’ on those who fall behind on their loan repayments. Throw in the mix non-local owners who either want to hit a specific threshold on their investment return or simply want their money back, and you have a pretty robust motive to undertake this ‘crack down’.

A damning report by a UK government adviser caused RBS to defend itself against the claim that it took advantage of ailing companies, seizing assets at a knockdown price. In Cyprus things will be much more interesting; if one controls the supply of stock by owning so many NPLs and also has the source for financing to acquire it, then it is difficult to imagine that a similar situation will not arise.

It is unlikely that this brainstorming has not taken place somewhere in government or in the boardrooms of banks. However, there isn’t that much that the government and banks can do given that they have no choice but to adhere to the commands of our creditors. As the saying goes, “beggars can’t be choosers”.

This leads me to a puzzle which I am yet to solve: “If I hit myself and it hurts, am I weak or strong?”

Pavlos Loizou  MRICS  VRS | Managing Partner

Leaf Research
Unit A31 | Chytron 30 | Nicosia 1075 | Cyprus
T +357 22 250 554 | M +357 99 450 329 | F +357 22 250 583

[email protected] | www.leafresearch.com